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Landbouweekblad (Digital)

Landbouweekblad (Digital)

1 Issue, 20 March 2025

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Kans op La Niña-stelsel in 2025-’26 verskraal

Die eerste aanduidings van weermodelle is dat die 2025-’26-somerseisoen dalk meer na neutrale of El Niño-toestande gaan neig.
Kans op La Niña-stelsel in 2025-’26 verskraal
“DIT is nog baie vroeg in die seisoen en heelwat veranderings kan nog voorkom. Die kans is tans redelik goed dat ’n La Niña-verskynsel nie volgende somer gaan voorkom nie, maar dat die toestande eerder na neutraal of El Niño kan neig,” sê Johan van den Berg, onafhanklike landbouweerkundige. Volgens hom behels langtermynneigings ongeveer ewe veel La Niña-, El Niño- en neutrale seisoene. Vanaf die 2010-’11-seisoen het sewe La Niña-neigende seisoene voorgekom, vier El Niño-neigende seisoene en vier neutrale seisoene. “In die tydperk tot 2025 het dus 47% La Niña-seisoene voorgekom en slegs sowat 26% El Niño- en neutrale seisoene elk. Hoewel klimaatsverandering ’n rol kan speel om meer La Niña-seisoene te veroorsaak, is dit onwaarskynlik en kan meer El Niño-seisoene in die volgende paar jaar verwag word.” Oneweredige reënverspreiding…
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Landbouweekblad (Digital) - 1 Issue, 20 March 2025

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