With any analysis of a draft's talent level, it starts at the top. While it might not seem like it, given the amount of attention paid to the Louisiana State duo of Dylan Crews and Paul Skenes, there are a pair of No. 1 overall-caliber prep players in this class.
Both Walker Jenkins and Max Clark stack up well with top-ranked prepsters in recent years-including Druw Jones, Jackson Holliday and Termarr Johnson in 2022 or Jordan Lawlar and Marcelo Mayer in 2021and in another draft class, both outfielders would have likely received more significant buzz as potential 1-1 picks.
As it stands, the duo of Jenkins and Clark is solidly viewed among an elite top tier of five players in the 2023 draft class. Both have impact tools on both sides of the ball.
Jenkins has a fearsome lefthanded swing with the power to back it up, and he is one of the best high school prospects out of the state of North Carolina in years. He draws eye-opening player comps that include Austin Meadows and one closer to home.
"People are going in and coming out very excited," said one scout of the industry watching Jenkins this spring. "He's humongous. He looks like Josh Hamilton. The area (scouts) in North Carolina say they haven't had a guy like him since Josh. He's legit."
Jenkins attends South Brunswick High in the southeastern part of the state, the same region as recent first-rounders MacKenzie Gore and Blake Walston.
Clark, who attends Franklin Community High, about 25 miles south of Indianapolis, has arguably the most electric all-around tools in the draft.
It starts with plus hitting potential, but he has two 70 tools in his speed and arm strength. He should be a plus defensive center fielder as well.
The strength of a draft class can't be carried on the shoulders of two players, though, however broad they might be. What seems like a separator for the 2023 high school group is the amount of quality players beyond Jenkins and Clark.
Since 2021, Baseball America has polled scouting directors before the season in an attempt to gauge the overall talent of the draft. This year, the industry collectively gave the high school hitters a 55 grade on the 20-80 scale and the high school pitchers a 50 grade.
Things have changed since January. There has been more up-arrow movement for the high school class collectively than there is in an average draft year. Typically, as the draft gets closer and the college season unfolds, performing college hitters and pitchers move up boards.
The high school players-hitters in particular-mostly solidify their draft stock during the summer showcase circuit as rising seniors and have fewer opportunities to move up boards or significantly alter their perceptions in the spring. The reality is that they have fewer opportunities against quality competition compared to their college counterparts.
As for high school pitchers, the risk of the demographic creates uncertainty. As draft day approaches, college arms have multiple advantages, specifically increased high-profile postseason opportunities to showcase in front of national decision-makers. They also have a significantly shorter development timeline once they enter pro ball.
The 2023 season, though, has seen a significant number of high school players move up the draft board. When looking at our preseason top 200 list and our late May top 500 update, the movement of the high school class as a whole is impressive.
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THE SHORTSTOPS
While the 2023 high school shortstop class doesn't quite compare to the four high school shortstops who topped the class in 2021-Lawlar, Mayer, Brady House and Kahlil Watson-there's plenty of impact to be found.
In total, 16 high school shortstops rank among the top 100 prospects, including nine among the top 50.
The high school shortstop demographic is always coveted, and this year there's a player for everyone-regardless of scouting preferences or organizational philosophy.
For clubs that favor pure hitters with bat-to-ball skills, there's Kevin McGonigle from Pennsylvania, who is perhaps the best pure hitter in the class. Both Colt Emerson of Ohio and Cooper Pratt of Mississippi have excellent contact ability and advanced approaches.
Other clubs may go for power and impact. If that's the case, then Arjun Nimmala of Florida has electric bat speed, Eric Bitonti of California is massive with huge raw power and Walker Martin of Colorado was one of the nation's top home run hitters this spring.
For clubs who value defense, this draft has no shortage of slick-gloved prep shortstops who should be above-average defenders, including Dylan Cupp of Georgia, Roch Cholowsky of Arizona, Adrian Santana of Florida, Samuel Stafura of New York and Roman Martin of California.
Bloodlines? How about Florida's George Lombard Jr., whose father George Sr. spent six seasons in the big leagues; or Ontario's Myles Naylor, who looks to continue the MLB lineage of older brothers Josh and Bo.
Youth? Nimmala, Emerson, Santana and Bitonti will all be 17 on draft day.
Multi-sport athleticism? That's covered by football players like Colin Houck of Georgia and Cholowsky, who were both excellent prep quarterbacks.
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Entering the year, there were a handful of high school prospects who were in consideration for the back of the first round, led by McGonigle, Nimmala, Cholowsky and Houck.
Strength gains and improved toolsets have only added to the mix.
Lombard Jr. started showing more power and speed this spring, which elevated an already strong foundation of baseball skill that comes in part fr...